Computer model predictions are now suggesting that coastal communities previously believed to be safe from large \u201cGrey Swan\u201d storm events may now experience them due to climate change, researchers at Princeton University\u2019s Engineering School warn in a recent university press release. <\/p>\n
\u201cGrey Swan\u201d tropical cyclones are those that can be predicted with some accuracy, though the storms are still expected to be rare events, as opposed to \u201cBlack Swan\u201d tropical cyclones which are also expected to be rare but unpredictable. Scientists from Princeton and MIT attempted to model the potential for \u201cGrey Swan\u201d hurricanes for three cities: Tampa, Florida, Cairns, Australia and Dubai, United Arab Emirates. <\/p>\n
All three cities showed significantly increased likelihood for \u201cGrey Swan\u201d storm activity according to 7,000 hurricane simulations performed by the computer modeling teams. The odds of a \u201cGrey Swan\u201d hurricane are estimated to be about 1 in 10,000 given current climate conditions. But given a future of climate change, scientists believe these powerful storms may increase to 1 in 700, research results suggested.<\/p>\n
Top image:\u00a0Researchers predict significant increases in tropical storms by the end of the century. (Credit: Ning Lin, Kerry Emanuel)<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Computer model predictions are now suggesting that coastal communities previously believed to be safe from large \u201cGrey Swan\u201d storm events may now experience them due to climate change, researchers at Princeton University\u2019s Engineering School warn in a recent university press release. \u201cGrey Swan\u201d tropical cyclones are those that can be predicted with some accuracy, though […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":21,"featured_media":23157,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7,44],"tags":[103,347,111],"class_list":["post-23160","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","category-oceans-coasts","tag-news-2","tag-oceans-coasts","tag-tropical-storms"],"remote_post_permalink":false,"remote_post_featured_image":false,"yoast_head":"\n